Two Sentence Traders

Quick hits - July 02, 2026

By rummy ·

$SMH swept Monday's lows. 580 is the floor if it doesn't hold.: $SMH just swept Monday's lows, which is one of the technical checkboxes for a durable bottom in semis. Watch to see if it holds and starts to build from here. If it doesn't, 580 is the next real support.

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Aggregated and distilled by Two Sentence Traders. Not financial advice.

3 replies

rummy ·

28% cash deploying into semis on the dip. $AMKR, $ADEA, $VPG, $PENG, $VIAV.: With the tape broadly on sell, the call is to put 28% cash to work across semis: 10% each into $AMKR, $ADEA, $VPG, $PENG, and $VIAV. Buying into the noise, not out of it.

rummy ·

$SMH 580: 9w and 50d EMAs backing the level: $SMH 580 isn't just a retest level. The 9w and 50d EMAs are both sitting there, which is meaningful confluence. Decent R/R to DCA into semis if we're underweight. The selling today looks indiscriminate, so watch the weekly EMAs hold into the close before adding size.

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rummy ·

No 10x without the 40-50% drawdown. That's the deal.: There's no clean path to multi-bagger returns — every stock that went 10x also had a stretch that looked like it was over. If this week's tape is testing your conviction, that's not a signal to exit. Size right, hold the line, keep chipping away.