Two Sentence Traders

πŸ“Š Scoreboard

By rummy Β·

Week ending August 21, 2026

Green is green, but this week was mostly red. $IBIT and $HOOD played out clean, no complaints there, but $ADEA, $PENG, $MU and $RKLB all faded on us and that's more misses than we like to own. Nothing heroic to say about it, just noted and moving on.

This week: 2 hit(s), 4 miss(es), 3 flat (hit = 2%+ in the call's direction, measured from the close before the call to the latest close)

Date Call Since Verdict
Aug 21 $IBIT squeezes through the 42 resistance on building call gamma $IBIT 41.20 -> 43.73 (+6.2%) βœ… hit
Aug 20 $PKOH at the 21-day ema, 42 is the spot to slowly add $PKOH 46.22 -> 45.55 (-1.4%) βž– flat
Aug 20 $SILC bases out on the MRVL/GOOGL read-through $GOOGL 344.72 -> 345.82 (+0.3%) βž– flat
Aug 20 $SILC bases out on the MRVL/GOOGL read-through $MRVL 237.27 -> 237.80 (+0.2%) βž– flat
Aug 20 $HOOD is the tell as BTC clears its 200-day $HOOD 95.77 -> 107.15 (+11.9%) βœ… hit
Aug 19 $ADEA PT bumped to 40 as hybrid bonding demand doubles the revenue target $ADEA 28.02 -> 26.43 (-5.7%) ❌ miss
Aug 19 $ADEA PT bumped to 40 as hybrid bonding demand doubles the revenue target $PENG 58.36 -> 52.45 (-10.1%) ❌ miss
Aug 18 UBS: MU buyback's coming, just not yet, demand's still accelerating $MU 1011.75 -> 961.70 (-4.9%) ❌ miss
Aug 17 $RKLB fighting to flip 73-77 into support $RKLB 80.25 -> 72.89 (-9.2%) ❌ miss

Aggregated and distilled by Two Sentence Traders. Not financial advice.

8 replies

rummy Β·

Week ending July 02, 2026

Rough week for the calls: 2 hits, 14 misses, 9 that went nowhere. We leaned bullish into a tape that wanted to sell, and the memory and storage names punished us for it. Lesson noted, we keep rolling, but sizing stays small until the setups start paying again.

This week: 2 hit(s), 14 miss(es), 9 flat (hit = 2%+ in the call's direction, measured from the close before the call to the latest close)

Date Call Since Verdict
Jul 02 $NOW setting up. Software may catch while semis digest. $NOW 105.80 -> 105.33 (-0.4%) βž– flat
Jul 02 $FPS broken trend, but valuation says this is the entry $FPS 49.90 -> 48.15 (-3.5%) ❌ miss
Jul 02 $PLPC: one of the cleaner chart setups going right now $PLPC 393.52 -> 384.69 (-2.2%) ❌ miss
Jul 02 $SHLS and $FIVN quietly rebuilding while everything else burns $FIVN 23.24 -> 23.32 (+0.3%) βž– flat
Jul 02 $SHLS and $FIVN quietly rebuilding while everything else burns $SHLS 10.12 -> 10.44 (+3.2%) βœ… hit
Jul 02 $AMZN: MACD-H crossover, setup building $AMZN 241.70 -> 244.75 (+1.3%) βž– flat
Jul 02 $VPG added. Holding while everything dumps is the tell. $VPG 144.01 -> 136.02 (-5.5%) ❌ miss
Jul 02 $SNDK selling on thin volume. Bears are bluffing. $SNDK 2032.22 -> 1909.62 (-6.0%) ❌ miss
Jul 02 $NBIS at support. The $27B deal math is still on the books. $CRWV 85.69 -> 85.24 (-0.5%) βž– flat
Jul 02 $NBIS at support. The $27B deal math is still on the books. $NBIS 229.18 -> 221.94 (-3.2%) ❌ miss
Jul 02 $INDI in the humanoid supply chain. Flow backed it yesterday. $INDI 4.54 -> 4.50 (-0.9%) βž– flat
Jul 02 $GLW and $GFS demo detachable optical interconnects. $GFS 77.23 -> 75.13 (-2.7%) ❌ miss
Jul 02 $GLW and $GFS demo detachable optical interconnects. $GLW 220.63 -> 209.72 (-4.9%) ❌ miss
Jul 02 $DELL setting up. A breakout could push $PENG further. $DELL 425.25 -> 406.09 (-4.5%) ❌ miss
Jul 02 $DELL setting up. A breakout could push $PENG further. $PENG 68.81 -> 64.68 (-6.0%) ❌ miss
Jul 02 A bear flag on memory. Size accordingly. $MU 1032.28 -> 1016.52 (-1.5%) βž– flat
Jul 02 UBS goes bull on CXL. $PENG is the domain play. $ALAB 430.86 -> 434.32 (+0.8%) βž– flat
Jul 02 UBS goes bull on CXL. $PENG is the domain play. $MRVL 272.05 -> 260.39 (-4.3%) ❌ miss
Jul 02 $SNDK needs 2400. $MU and KOSPI could follow. $MU 1032.28 -> 1016.52 (-1.5%) βž– flat
Jul 02 $SNDK needs 2400. $MU and KOSPI could follow. $SNDK 2032.22 -> 1909.62 (-6.0%) ❌ miss
Jul 02 $PENG running into July 7. Bigger run, bumpier reaction. $PENG 68.81 -> 64.68 (-6.0%) ❌ miss
Jun 30 $STX: entry looks good, even if the kumo isn't perfect $STX 968.53 -> 872.26 (-9.9%) ❌ miss
Jun 30 $OUST still squeezing. $VPG playing catch-up. $OUST 54.07 -> 53.17 (-1.7%) βž– flat
Jun 30 $OUST still squeezing. $VPG playing catch-up. $VPG 142.09 -> 136.02 (-4.3%) ❌ miss
Jun 30 $MXL may already be gone $MXL 108.47 -> 100.67 (-7.2%) βœ… hit

(most recent 25 graded calls shown)


Aggregated and distilled by Two Sentence Traders. Not financial advice.

rummy Β·

Week ending July 03, 2026

Rough week. Two hits out of 25 calls, and the misses weren't small ones. $STX, $VPG, and $SNDK all gave back double digits, and we got caught leaning into setups the tape had no interest in respecting.

This week: 2 hit(s), 19 miss(es), 4 flat (hit = 2%+ in the call's direction, measured from the close before the call to the latest close)

Date Call Since Verdict
Jul 02 $WM hits $230 target. Initial position trimmed. $WM 224.08 -> 230.40 (+2.8%) βœ… hit
Jul 02 $NOW setting up. Software may catch while semis digest. $NOW 105.80 -> 106.32 (+0.5%) βž– flat
Jul 02 $FPS broken trend, but valuation says this is the entry $FPS 49.90 -> 46.86 (-6.1%) ❌ miss
Jul 02 $PLPC: one of the cleaner chart setups going right now $PLPC 393.52 -> 368.77 (-6.3%) ❌ miss
Jul 02 $SHLS and $FIVN quietly rebuilding while everything else burns $FIVN 23.24 -> 23.44 (+0.9%) βž– flat
Jul 02 $SHLS and $FIVN quietly rebuilding while everything else burns $SHLS 10.12 -> 9.95 (-1.7%) βž– flat
Jul 02 $AMZN: MACD-H crossover, setup building $AMZN 241.70 -> 242.67 (+0.4%) βž– flat
Jul 02 $VPG added. Holding while everything dumps is the tell. $VPG 144.01 -> 121.59 (-15.6%) ❌ miss
Jul 02 $SNDK selling on thin volume. Bears are bluffing. $SNDK 2032.22 -> 1745.00 (-14.1%) ❌ miss
Jul 02 $NBIS at support. The $27B deal math is still on the books. $CRWV 85.69 -> 81.75 (-4.6%) ❌ miss
Jul 02 $NBIS at support. The $27B deal math is still on the books. $NBIS 229.18 -> 215.62 (-5.9%) ❌ miss
Jul 02 $INDI in the humanoid supply chain. Flow backed it yesterday. $INDI 4.54 -> 4.33 (-4.6%) ❌ miss
Jul 02 $GLW and $GFS demo detachable optical interconnects. $GFS 77.23 -> 69.84 (-9.6%) ❌ miss
Jul 02 $GLW and $GFS demo detachable optical interconnects. $GLW 220.63 -> 196.79 (-10.8%) ❌ miss
Jul 02 $DELL setting up. A breakout could push $PENG further. $DELL 425.25 -> 394.32 (-7.3%) ❌ miss
Jul 02 $DELL setting up. A breakout could push $PENG further. $PENG 68.81 -> 61.47 (-10.7%) ❌ miss
Jul 02 A bear flag on memory. Size accordingly. $MU 1032.28 -> 975.56 (-5.5%) βœ… hit
Jul 02 UBS goes bull on CXL. $PENG is the domain play. $ALAB 430.86 -> 406.42 (-5.7%) ❌ miss
Jul 02 UBS goes bull on CXL. $PENG is the domain play. $MRVL 272.05 -> 245.29 (-9.8%) ❌ miss
Jul 02 $SNDK needs 2400. $MU and KOSPI could follow. $MU 1032.28 -> 975.56 (-5.5%) ❌ miss
Jul 02 $SNDK needs 2400. $MU and KOSPI could follow. $SNDK 2032.22 -> 1745.00 (-14.1%) ❌ miss
Jul 02 $PENG running into July 7. Bigger run, bumpier reaction. $PENG 68.81 -> 61.47 (-10.7%) ❌ miss
Jun 30 $STX: entry looks good, even if the kumo isn't perfect $STX 968.53 -> 820.16 (-15.3%) ❌ miss
Jun 30 $OUST still squeezing. $VPG playing catch-up. $OUST 54.07 -> 49.84 (-7.8%) ❌ miss
Jun 30 $OUST still squeezing. $VPG playing catch-up. $VPG 142.09 -> 121.59 (-14.4%) ❌ miss

(most recent 25 graded calls shown)


Aggregated and distilled by Two Sentence Traders. Not financial advice.

rummy Β·

Week ending July 10, 2026

Two hits, two misses, three flat. $PENG was simultaneously our best and worst trade of the week, which honestly says everything about this tape. We'll take the 28.9% and wear the rest.

This week: 2 hit(s), 2 miss(es), 3 flat (hit = 2%+ in the call's direction, measured from the close before the call to the latest close)

Date Call Since Verdict
Jul 10 $PENG add at the lows. Sovereign AI contracts are the catalyst to wait on. $PENG 81.39 -> 79.26 (-2.6%) ❌ miss
Jul 10 $PENG bears are reading the wrong setup $PENG 81.39 -> 79.26 (-2.6%) ❌ miss
Jul 10 $PENG bears are reading the wrong setup $SIMO 324.26 -> 324.58 (+0.1%) βž– flat
Jul 08 $WM approaching $240. Another trim level. $WM 237.21 -> 232.79 (-1.9%) βž– flat
Jul 07 $VSH cut. Momentum trade didn't work. $SMH 604.30 -> 611.44 (+1.2%) βž– flat
Jul 07 $VSH cut. Momentum trade didn't work. $VSH 46.17 -> 44.47 (-3.7%) βœ… hit
Jul 06 $PENG into earnings: beat expected, real inflection is Q4 '26 $PENG 61.47 -> 79.26 (+28.9%) βœ… hit

Aggregated and distilled by Two Sentence Traders. Not financial advice.

rummy Β·

Week ending July 17, 2026

Two out of three misses came from the same call, so let's just say it plainly: chasing the TSM capex read-through into $AMKR and $TSM didn't pay, and $PENG's Morgan Stanley bump did nothing to stop an 8% bleed. $TSEM was the lone green square and the hedges stayed roughly flat, which is fine, that's what hedges are for. Green is green, but this week it was mostly red, lesson noted.

This week: 1 hit(s), 3 miss(es), 3 flat (hit = 2%+ in the call's direction, measured from the close before the call to the latest close)

Date Call Since Verdict
Jul 17 Hedges bumped to 10%, fresh QQQ 690 puts added for August $QQQ 705.94 -> 696.68 (-1.3%) βž– flat
Jul 17 Hedges bumped to 10%, fresh QQQ 690 puts added for August $SPY 750.72 -> 743.91 (-0.9%) βž– flat
Jul 17 PENG's CXL bet gets a Morgan Stanley bump, sovereign AI contracts still coming $PENG 65.97 -> 60.71 (-8.0%) ❌ miss
Jul 16 TSM capex raise confirms the AI demand story, AMKR read-through looks underpriced $AMKR 67.64 -> 62.77 (-7.2%) ❌ miss
Jul 16 TSM capex raise confirms the AI demand story, AMKR read-through looks underpriced $TSM 419.48 -> 398.83 (-4.9%) ❌ miss
Jul 15 $SHLS breaking out, Jefferies bumps PT to $12 into Q2 $SHLS 10.76 -> 10.60 (-1.5%) βž– flat
Jul 14 $TSEM guidance raised 29%/60%, Japan subsidy secured. Optical not done. $TSEM 229.68 -> 235.64 (+2.6%) βœ… hit

Aggregated and distilled by Two Sentence Traders. Not financial advice.

rummy Β·

Week ending July 24, 2026

Not a lot of green to hide behind this week. GDXJ and the memory names (MU, SMH) faded fast, and FPS just kept bleeding into that August unlock. SNDK and the PENG short did their job, but 2-4-5 is a losing scoreboard, no spin on it.

This week: 2 hit(s), 4 miss(es), 5 flat (hit = 2%+ in the call's direction, measured from the close before the call to the latest close)

Date Call Since Verdict
Jul 24 $AMKR pops on a real $1.5B NVDA packaging deal $AMKR 65.33 -> 64.19 (-1.7%) βž– flat
Jul 24 $AMKR pops on a real $1.5B NVDA packaging deal $NVDA 208.76 -> 205.49 (-1.6%) βž– flat
Jul 23 Averaging down GDXJ tomorrow, targeting a ~120 cost basis $GDX 76.68 -> 75.18 (-2.0%) βž– flat
Jul 23 Averaging down GDXJ tomorrow, targeting a ~120 cost basis $GDXJ 100.56 -> 97.73 (-2.8%) ❌ miss
Jul 23 $MU and $STX already broke out of their flags, $SNDK's the laggard $MU 959.48 -> 913.58 (-4.8%) ❌ miss
Jul 23 $MU and $STX already broke out of their flags, $SNDK's the laggard $SMH 586.91 -> 559.03 (-4.7%) ❌ miss
Jul 22 $FPS staying dead money till the August unlock clears $FPS 40.31 -> 35.91 (-10.9%) ❌ miss
Jul 21 Big SMH call flow lining up for Wednesday's hyperscaler capex $SMH 558.83 -> 559.03 (+0.0%) βž– flat
Jul 21 $SNDK leads memory bounce as NVDA's Rubin CMX soaks up NAND supply $NVDA 203.28 -> 205.49 (+1.1%) βž– flat
Jul 21 $SNDK leads memory bounce as NVDA's Rubin CMX soaks up NAND supply $SNDK 1390.95 -> 1443.13 (+3.8%) βœ… hit
Jul 20 $PENG could still see the 40s before the dip-buy $PENG 60.41 -> 53.47 (-11.5%) βœ… hit

Aggregated and distilled by Two Sentence Traders. Not financial advice.

rummy Β·

Week ending July 31, 2026

Green quarter overall. 12 hits, 7 misses, 6 flat, and honestly most of the pain came from fighting the QQQ tape when the "bait" rally just kept ripping through resistance instead of rolling over. Memory (MU, SNDK, STX) and the AMKR/MXL fades printed clean, but we kept getting too early on the puts, lesson noted, we keep rolling.

This week: 12 hit(s), 7 miss(es), 6 flat (hit = 2%+ in the call's direction, measured from the close before the call to the latest close)

Date Call Since Verdict
Jul 31 $LRCX crushes it, WFE thesis confirmed $LRCX 297.72 -> 299.50 (+0.6%) βž– flat
Jul 31 $AMZN's numbers were legit, worth a look if it fades $AMZN 235.50 -> 271.51 (+15.3%) βœ… hit
Jul 31 $AMZN's numbers were legit, worth a look if it fades $MSFT 451.10 -> 462.62 (+2.6%) βœ… hit
Jul 30 QQQ puts back on, small, as the 'bait' rally tests the top of the channel $NBIS 148.22 -> 189.10 (+27.6%) ❌ miss
Jul 30 QQQ puts back on, small, as the 'bait' rally tests the top of the channel $QQQ 661.73 -> 689.96 (+4.3%) ❌ miss
Jul 30 Closed the August QQQ puts at a loss, trimmed ARKK to 5% $ARKK 70.58 -> 71.54 (+1.4%) βž– flat
Jul 30 Closed the August QQQ puts at a loss, trimmed ARKK to 5% $QQQ 661.73 -> 689.96 (+4.3%) βœ… hit
Jul 30 Samsung says the memory shortage runs into 2027, and it gets worse from here $MU 739.00 -> 835.46 (+13.1%) βœ… hit
Jul 30 Samsung says the memory shortage runs into 2027, and it gets worse from here $SNDK 1015.89 -> 1229.81 (+21.1%) βœ… hit
Jul 29 QQQ puts ran to a double, banked the Aug 3 tranche $MAGS 63.44 -> 65.85 (+3.8%) ❌ miss
Jul 29 QQQ puts ran to a double, banked the Aug 3 tranche $QQQ 675.49 -> 689.96 (+2.1%) ❌ miss
Jul 29 Scaling into QQQ 665P for Aug 03, adding Aug monthlies too $QQQ 675.49 -> 689.96 (+2.1%) ❌ miss
Jul 29 ARKK's 21-month ema is the line for the puts to print $ARKK 72.45 -> 71.54 (-1.3%) βž– flat
Jul 29 ARKK's 21-month ema is the line for the puts to print $QQQ 675.49 -> 689.96 (+2.1%) ❌ miss
Jul 29 Banked the weekly QQQ puts, letting the August core ride into FOMC $QQQ 675.49 -> 689.96 (+2.1%) βœ… hit
Jul 29 Memory earnings season confirms the thesis: STX and SK Hynix both beat $STX 747.30 -> 859.50 (+15.0%) βœ… hit
Jul 28 Scaling into QQQ puts to fund a mid-August BTD $QQQ 682.12 -> 689.96 (+1.1%) βž– flat
Jul 28 Heavy sell on AMKR despite the NVDA deal, breaking support here $AMKR 60.71 -> 50.58 (-16.7%) βœ… hit
Jul 28 Heavy sell on AMKR despite the NVDA deal, breaking support here $NVDA 196.51 -> 201.18 (+2.4%) ❌ miss
Jul 27 Trimming SMH puts up 60%, letting runners ride with ARKK $ARKK 71.89 -> 71.54 (-0.5%) βž– flat
Jul 27 Trimming SMH puts up 60%, letting runners ride with ARKK $SMH 561.19 -> 545.24 (-2.8%) βœ… hit
Jul 27 Trimming POWL down to house money after a 100%+ run $POWL 232.21 -> 211.51 (-8.9%) βœ… hit
Jul 27 Booked the MXL loss into a gap earnings couldn't save $AMKR 64.96 -> 50.58 (-22.1%) βœ… hit
Jul 27 Booked the MXL loss into a gap earnings couldn't save $MXL 71.59 -> 67.30 (-6.0%) βœ… hit
Jul 27 $KTOS bottoming call gets a 170%-upside cosign from B Riley $KTOS 47.35 -> 46.57 (-1.6%) βž– flat

(most recent 25 graded calls shown)


Aggregated and distilled by Two Sentence Traders. Not financial advice.

rummy Β·

Week ending August 07, 2026

Green is green even when it's mostly flat this week. $ENTG, $INTC, and $AEIS all cashed the semi-materials thesis, $PLPC got booked before resistance could take it back, and the $AMBA/$NXPI M&A read hit clean. But we're owning the misses: $VPG bled 32% while we waited on the 200d, and $POWL's earnings pop faded fast, wrong side of that one.

This week: 5 hit(s), 2 miss(es), 5 flat (hit = 2%+ in the call's direction, measured from the close before the call to the latest close)

Date Call Since Verdict
Aug 07 $AMZN GEX node holds at $275, MACD-H divergence in play $AMZN 272.26 -> 274.16 (+0.7%) βž– flat
Aug 05 VPG holding the 200d ema as Figure's hand redesign muddies the bull case $VPG 101.00 -> 68.83 (-31.9%) ❌ miss
Aug 05 $ANET's first $3 billion quarter, stock ripping $ANET 190.51 -> 188.68 (-1.0%) βž– flat
Aug 05 $IREN swing add on a fresh momentum breakout $IREN 40.85 -> 40.40 (-1.1%) βž– flat
Aug 04 ENTG's blowout quarter confirms the semi-materials thesis $ENTG 125.20 -> 151.22 (+20.8%) βœ… hit
Aug 04 ENTG's blowout quarter confirms the semi-materials thesis $INTC 91.00 -> 100.87 (+10.8%) βœ… hit
Aug 04 $AEIS prints a clean beat, semi revenue up 33% $AEIS 296.38 -> 324.56 (+9.5%) βœ… hit
Aug 04 $POWL earnings crushed it, now watching the 200d SMA to rebuy $POWL 219.72 -> 210.99 (-4.0%) ❌ miss
Aug 03 Booked PLPC +61%, not sticking around into resistance $PLPC 356.98 -> 467.59 (+31.0%) βœ… hit
Aug 03 Trimmed half the AMZN breakout, letting the rest run $AMZN 271.58 -> 274.16 (+0.9%) βž– flat
Aug 03 $AMBA getting bought by $NXPI, physical AI names are M&A targets now $AMBA 86.00 -> 86.56 (+0.7%) βž– flat
Aug 03 $AMBA getting bought by $NXPI, physical AI names are M&A targets now $NXPI 229.16 -> 239.34 (+4.4%) βœ… hit

Aggregated and distilled by Two Sentence Traders. Not financial advice.

rummy Β·

Week ending August 14, 2026

11 hits, 1 miss, 4 flat. The $DT call in the cybersecurity basket didn't work, down 2.6% while its basket-mates AKAM ripped. Rest of the board was clean: photonics and rare earths did the heavy lifting, and the flats just chopped sideways without doing much damage either way.

This week: 11 hit(s), 1 miss(es), 4 flat (hit = 2%+ in the call's direction, measured from the close before the call to the latest close)

Date Call Since Verdict
Aug 14 INTC's upsized raise reads as good news, calls target 120 $INTC 104.56 -> 102.67 (-1.8%) βž– flat
Aug 14 SNDK's investor day finally gives memory its catalyst $SNDK 1528.11 -> 1613.63 (+5.6%) βœ… hit
Aug 13 $HLIT trim locks in gains, stop to break-even $HLIT 12.00 -> 13.78 (+14.8%) βœ… hit
Aug 13 $NBIS squeezes right through Burry's growing short $NBIS 259.20 -> 273.00 (+5.3%) βœ… hit
Aug 12 $DOCN chart coiling up after the print, stop at 125 $DOCN 120.86 -> 130.00 (+7.6%) βœ… hit
Aug 12 $LITE breaches $1B revenue, photonics thesis confirmed $AXTI 73.78 -> 81.72 (+10.8%) βœ… hit
Aug 12 $LITE breaches $1B revenue, photonics thesis confirmed $COHR 328.57 -> 324.49 (-1.2%) βž– flat
Aug 11 New cybersecurity basket: DT, SAIL, AKAM join MITK $AKAM 117.65 -> 124.96 (+6.2%) βœ… hit
Aug 11 New cybersecurity basket: DT, SAIL, AKAM join MITK $DT 50.57 -> 49.23 (-2.6%) ❌ miss
Aug 11 Defense looks bottomed, $KTOS 64.5 the level to clear $HII 330.81 -> 328.41 (-0.7%) βž– flat
Aug 11 Defense looks bottomed, $KTOS 64.5 the level to clear $ITA 251.13 -> 252.92 (+0.7%) βž– flat
Aug 11 $MITK breakout holding, sizing up tomorrow $MITK 18.55 -> 19.31 (+4.1%) βœ… hit
Aug 10 $UUUU and $PPTA charts turning constructive on rare earths $PPTA 24.72 -> 25.22 (+2.0%) βœ… hit
Aug 10 $UUUU and $PPTA charts turning constructive on rare earths $UUUU 14.14 -> 15.19 (+7.4%) βœ… hit
Aug 09 $LITE could be eyeing new highs next week $AAOI 135.63 -> 149.66 (+10.3%) βœ… hit
Aug 09 $LITE could be eyeing new highs next week $LITE 890.17 -> 918.66 (+3.2%) βœ… hit

Aggregated and distilled by Two Sentence Traders. Not financial advice.